Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.270481 0.314255 0.364532 0.426922 0.502784 0.592691 0.708284
2025-08-17 0.203096 0.258324 0.329305 0.428833 0.567417 0.757603 1.045672
2025-08-24 0.163859 0.221826 0.302441 0.425994 0.616638 0.910498 1.420847
2025-08-31 0.137206 0.194650 0.279486 0.418888 0.652589 1.049582 1.826667
2025-09-07 0.122132 0.180459 0.271268 0.430132 0.717648 1.253415 2.434284
2025-09-14 0.106842 0.162959 0.254040 0.421605 0.744577 1.395402 2.987460
2025-09-21 0.096786 0.152046 0.245310 0.425339 0.794279 1.598216 3.789048
2025-09-28 0.087854 0.141589 0.235421 0.424427 0.833819 1.792863 4.691524
2025-10-05 0.082281 0.136059 0.233265 0.437827 0.907365 2.096118 6.127925
2025-10-12 0.077024 0.130337 0.229754 0.447536 0.975221 2.414231 7.887391
2025-10-19 0.072264 0.124889 0.225886 0.455575 1.041470 2.758942 10.093242
2025-10-26 0.068644 0.121124 0.224751 0.469451 1.127270 3.206883 13.280495
2025-11-02 0.064363 0.115694 0.219673 0.473731 1.190589 3.624527 16.972541
2025-11-09 0.060248 0.110154 0.213661 0.474762 1.246120 4.052913 21.503777
2025-11-16 0.056247 0.104410 0.206436 0.471337 1.287633 4.457382 26.736313
2025-11-23 0.052353 0.098484 0.198042 0.463264 1.312217 4.811814 32.470760
2025-11-30 0.050238 0.096079 0.197339 0.475968 1.412224 5.585118 44.299715
2025-12-07 0.046931 0.090785 0.189231 0.466326 1.430092 5.975905 53.609095
2025-12-14 0.044742 0.087725 0.186083 0.470547 1.502168 6.721172 70.734324
2025-12-21 0.042453 0.084229 0.181455 0.469516 1.554270 7.407793 91.017056
2025-12-28 0.041174 0.082888 0.182016 0.484672 1.679874 8.690238 132.024755
2026-01-04 0.039769 0.081123 0.181281 0.495660 1.793529 10.039786 189.636944
2026-01-11 0.038369 0.079243 0.180020 0.504765 1.903985 11.524742 274.072393